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Venice News Updates

News of Venice, CA and Marina del Rey CA

Golden Anniversary of Black-Hole Singularity

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Note: This is a press release from Spanish Foundation for Science and Technology, Madrid.

Hole Milkyway Black Hole . Credit: Ute Kraus, Universität Hildesheim

Exactly 50 years ago, the physicist and mathematician Sir Roger Penrose, currently Professor Emeritus at the University of Oxford (United Kingdom), formulated a theorem in which he associated two concepts related to relativity. One of these concepts is gravitational singularity, an ‘error’ in space-time where physical quantities cannot be defined.

The other concept is that of so-called ‘‘trapped surfaces,” areas that inevitably shrink over time. These surfaces are formed by the explosion of a star at the end of its life, thus causing its collapse and the subsequent formation of a black hole. At that moment, a gravitational singularity is created where time ceases to exist and the laws of known physics can no longer be applied.

Penrose’s theorem relates both concepts and is considered the first major mathematically rigorous result of Einstein’s general theory. Shortly after presenting his theorem, Penrose and the acclaimed Stephen Hawking tested another theorem which indicates that an expanding universe—such as ours—must have its origin in an instantaneous singularity: the Big Bang, the mysterious initial state which has infinite density.

‘‘What these two theorems are saying is that the general theory of relativity predicts the existence of singular and catastrophic occurrences, such as that which happens inside a black hole or the great initial expansion of the universe, under certain physically reasonable conditions,” explains José M. M. Senovilla, theoretical physicist at the University of the Basque Country and co-author of a study concerning these theorems.

“But they also indicate that Einstein’s theory includes and describes its own limitations,” he adds, “since said theory no longer seems valid in certain situations under extreme conditions due to the occurrence of totally unacceptable ‘infinite’ singularities.”

The theorems in and of themselves do not imply that catastrophic events such as black holes have to occur. Singularity could be averted if the hypotheses of the theorem were nullified. “An example in which this would occur would be if the energy density of the entire universe were, on average, null; but the problem is that this case seems to be highly unrealistic, so singularities prevail,” the researcher notes.

Senovilla’s study on Penrose’s singularity theorem has been published in the journal ‘Classical and Quantum Gravity’ along with 12 other articles highlighting the milestones that mark 100 years of Einstein’s general theory of relativity, the 100th anniversary of which is also celebrated in 2015 [http://iopscience.iop.org/0264-9381/page/Focus%20issue%20on%20Milestones%20of%20general%20relativity].

Pluto is Stunning

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Note: This is a press release from NASA.

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The latest images from NASA’s New Horizons spacecraft have scientists stunned—not only for their breathtaking views of Pluto’s majestic icy mountains, streams of frozen nitrogen and haunting low-lying hazes, but also for their strangely familiar, arctic look.

A new view of Pluto’s crescent—taken by New Horizons’ wide-angle Ralph/Multispectral Visual Imaging Camera (MVIC) on July 14 and downlinked to Earth on Sept. 13—offers an oblique look across Plutonian landscapes with dramatic backlighting from the Sun. It spectacularly highlights Pluto’s varied terrains and extended atmosphere. The scene measures 780 miles across.

“This image really makes you feel you are there, at Pluto, surveying the landscape for yourself,” said New Horizons Principal Investigator Alan Stern, of the Southwest Research Institute, Boulder, Colorado. “But this image is also a scientific bonanza, revealing new details about Pluto’s atmosphere, mountains, glaciers and plains.”

Owing to its favorable backlighting and high resolution, the MVIC image also reveals new details of hazes throughout Pluto’s tenuous but extended nitrogen atmosphere. The image shows more than a dozen thin haze layers extending from near the ground to at least 60 miles above the surface. In addition, the image reveals at least one bank of fog-like, low-lying haze illuminated by the setting Sun against Pluto’s dark side, raked by shadows from nearby mountains.

Combined with other recently downloaded pictures, this new image also provides evidence for a remarkably Earth-like “hydrological” cycle on Pluto — but involving soft and exotic ices, including nitrogen, rather than water ice.

Bright areas east of the vast icy plain informally named Sputnik Planum appear to have been blanketed by these ices, which may have evaporated from the surface of Sputnik and then been redeposited to the east. The new Ralph imager panorama also reveals glaciers flowing back into Sputnik Planum from this blanketed region; these features are similar to the frozen streams on the margins of ice caps on Greenland and Antarctica.

“We did not expect to find hints of a nitrogen-based glacial cycle on Pluto operating in the frigid conditions of the outer solar system,” said Alan Howard, a member of the mission’s Geology, Geophysics and Imaging team from the University of Virginia, Charlottesville.”

“Pluto is surprisingly Earth-like in this regard,” added Stern, “and no one predicted it.”

Lunar Eclipse and Beethoven Sunday

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Note: Based on press release by Griffith Observatory.

Griffith Observatory will host a free public event to view the total lunar eclipse on Sunday, Sept. 27, from 6:45 to 9:45 pm.

Telescope and binocular viewing of the Moon will be available free to the public, with commentary by Griffith Observatory staff members. During parts of the evening, the L.A. Philharmonic and Steinway & Sons will present live piano music performed by Ray Ushikubo of the Colburn School. He will perform Beethoven’s “Moonlight Sonata” and other Moon-related pieces on the Observatory’s front lawn. Blankets are welcome, chairs are prohibited.

People can safely view the eclipse from anywhere and don’t need a telescope or other viewing device. Just look near the horizon to the east, beginning just after sunset. (Although the dim eclipsed Moon rises at about 6:45 p.m. PDT, it may be somewhat hard to see until after dark, around 7:30.)

You can also watch Griffith Observatory’s live online broadcast at http://new.livestream.com/GriffithObservatoryTV

A total lunar eclipse occurs when the Moon passes into the shadow cast by the Earth. The round disk of the full Moon slowly moves in to the dark shadow, and the bright Moon grows dim. The Moon, however, does not become completely dark. Instead, it usually glows with a faint copper or red color, a result of sunlight being filtered through the Earth’s atmosphere.

stages_of_eclipse_20150927_web (Courtesy of Griffith Observatory.)

Saturn’s Moon Enceladus Hosts a Global Ocean

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Note: This is a press release from the SETI Institute.

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Illustration of the interior of Saturn’s moon Enceladus showing a global liquid water ocean between its rocky core and icy crust. Thickness of layers shown here is not to scale. Image credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech

Every square inch of Saturn’s small moon Enceladus overlies a potentially habitable ocean. Observations of Enceladus’ slight wobble as it orbits Saturn can only be explained if the outer crust floats freely from the inner core, according to scientists studying images taken by NASA’s Cassini spacecraft. This means there is a globe-spanning ocean beneath Enceladus’ icy surface.

Enceladus has been a prime location for studying the potential for life in the solar system for the past decade, since Cassini found in 2006 a fine spray of water vapor, icy particles, and simple organic molecules erupting from fractures near Enceladus’ south pole. Measurements of the saltiness of geyser particles in 2009 proved that they must emanate from a liquid reservoir, and a 2014 analysis of Enceladus’ gravitational pull on the Cassini spacecraft demonstrated that the liquid reservoir is at least a regional sea underlying the entire south pole region. The new results—derived using an independent line of evidence based on Cassini’s images—prove that that regional sea is a widening of a global ocean. This discovery is published online in the journal Icarus.

“This exciting discovery expands the region of habitability for Enceladus from just a regional sea under the south pole to all of Enceladus,” said Matthew Tiscareno, a Cassini participating scientist at the SETI Institute, Mountain View, California, and a coauthor of the paper. “The global nature of the ocean likely tells us that it has been there for a long time, and is being maintained by robust global effects, which is also encouraging from the standpoint of habitability,” he said.

The discovery was made through a combination of imaging, dynamical modeling, and statistical analysis. “This was a hard problem that required years of observations, and calculations involving a diverse collection of disciplines, but we are confident we finally got it right,” said Peter Thomas, a Cassini imaging team member at Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, and lead author of the paper.

Enceladus has a tiny, but measurable wobble as it orbits Saturn. The icy moon is not perfectly spherical, and because it goes slightly faster and slower during different parts of its orbit, Saturn pulls and pushes the small moon back and forth as it rotates.

Tiscareno developed a series of dynamical models of this wobble, technically called a libration, and Thomas’s group then tested each model against hundreds of Cassini images, taken of Enceladus’ surface at different times and from different angles, to find the best fit to the observations with extreme precision. The team plugged their best-fit value for the wobble into different models for how Enceladus might be arranged on the inside, including ones where the moon was frozen from surface to core.

“If the surface and core were rigidly connected, the core would provide so much dead weight that the wobble would be far smaller than we observe it to be,” said Tiscareno, “This proves that there must be a global layer of liquid separating the surface from the core,” he said.

The geysers deliver samples from this ocean to the surface regularly, which makes Enceladus a prime candidate in the search for life beyond Earth. Although a handful of worlds are now thought to have subsurface oceans, Enceladus joins only Jupiter’s moon Europa (which was recently selected as the destination of NASA’s next flagship mission) in having an extraterrestrial ocean that is known to communicate with its surface.

NASA New Horizon Team Selects Kuiper Belt Flyby Target

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    Note: This is a press release from Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory.

NASA has selected the potential next destination for the New Horizons mission to visit after its historic July 14 flyby of the Pluto system. The destination is a small Kuiper Belt object (KBO) known as 2014 MU69, which orbits the Sun nearly a billion miles beyond Pluto.

“Even as the New Horizons spacecraft speeds away from Pluto out into the Kuiper Belt, and the data from the exciting encounter with this new world is being streamed back to Earth, we are looking outward to the next destination for this intrepid explorer,” said John Grunsfeld, astronaut and chief of the NASA Science Mission Directorate at the agency headquarters in Washington.

Path of NASA's New Horizons spacecraft toward its next potential target, the Kuiper Belt object 2014 MU69, nicknamed "PT1" (for "Potential Target 1") by the New Horizons team. Although NASA has selected 2014 MU69 as the target, as part of its normal review process the agency will conduct a detailed assessment before officially approving the mission extension to conduct additional science. (Credit: NASA/Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory/Southwest Research Institute/Alex Parker)

Path of NASA’s New Horizons spacecraft toward its next potential target, the Kuiper Belt object 2014 MU69, nicknamed “PT1” (for “Potential Target 1”) by the New Horizons team. Although NASA has selected 2014 MU69 as the target, as part of its normal review process the agency will conduct a detailed assessment before officially approving the mission extension to conduct additional science. (Credit: NASA/Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory/Southwest Research Institute/Alex Parker)


The 2003 National Academy of Sciences’ Planetary Decadal Survey strongly recommended that the first mission to the Kuiper Belt include flybys of Pluto and small KBOs, in order to sample the diversity of objects in that previously unexplored region of the solar system.

Early target selection was important; the team needs to direct New Horizons toward the object this year in order to perform any extended mission with healthy fuel margins. New Horizons will perform a series of four maneuvers in late October and early November to set its course toward 2014 MU69, which it expects to reach on January 1, 2019.

“2014 MU69 is a great choice because it is just the kind of ancient KBO, formed where it orbits now, that the Decadal Survey desired us to fly by,” said New Horizons Principal Investigator Alan Stern, of the Southwest Research Institute (SwRI) in Boulder, Colorado. “Moreover, this KBO costs less fuel to reach [than other candidate targets], leaving more fuel for the flyby, for ancillary science, and greater fuel reserves to protect against the unforeseen.”

New Horizons was originally designed to fly beyond the Pluto system and explore additional Kuiper Belt objects. The spacecraft carries extra hydrazine fuel for a KBO flyby; its communications system is designed to work from far beyond Pluto; its power system is designed to operate for many more years; and its scientific instruments were designed to operate in light levels much lower than it will experience during the 2014 MU69 flyby.

Finding a suitable KBO flyby target was no easy task. Starting a search in 2011 using some of the largest ground-based telescopes on Earth, the New Horizons team found several dozen KBOs, but none were reachable within the fuel supply aboard the spacecraft.

The powerful Hubble Space Telescope came to the rescue in summer 2014, discovering five objects, since narrowed to two, within New Horizons’ flight path. Scientists estimate the average diameter of 2014 MU69 to be about 30 miles.

The Kuiper Belt is a disk-shaped region in the outer solar system, lying beyond the orbit of Neptune and containing thousands of small, icy celestial bodies. Its existence was predicted in 1951 by the Dutch-born astronomer Gerard Kuiper. In 1992, after five years of searching, astronomers David Jewitt and Jane Luu discovered the first KBO.

Unlike asteroids, KBOs have been heated only slightly by the Sun, and are thought to represent a well preserved, deep-freeze sample of what the outer solar system was like following its birth 4.6 billion years ago.

The New Horizons spacecraft—currently 3 billion miles from Earth—is just starting to transmit the bulk of the images and other data, stored on its digital recorders, from its historic July encounter with the Pluto system. The spacecraft is healthy and operating normally.

Stunning New Images from Dwarf Planet Ceres

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Note: This is based on a press release from Nasa JPL.

(Video courtesy of NASA JPL) Striking 3-D detail highlights a towering mountain, the brightest spots and other features on dwarf planet Ceres in a new video from NASA’s Dawn mission.

A prominent mountain with bright streaks on its steep slopes is especially fascinating to scientists. The peak’s shape has been likened to a cone or a pyramid. It appears to be about 4 miles high, with respect to the surface around it, according to the latest estimates. This means the mountain has about the same elevation as Mount McKinley in Denali National Park, Alaska, the highest point in North America.

“This mountain is among the tallest features we’ve seen on Ceres to date,” said Dawn science team member Paul Schenk, a geologist at the Lunar and Planetary Institute, Houston. “It’s unusual that it’s not associated with a crater. Why is it sitting in the middle of nowhere? We don’t know yet, but we may find out with closer observations.”

Also puzzling is the famous Occator (oh-KAH-tor) crater, home to Ceres’ brightest spots. A new animation simulates the experience of a close flyover of this area. The crater takes its name from the Roman agriculture deity of harrowing, a method of pulverizing and smoothing soil.

In examining the way Occator’s bright spots reflect light at different wavelengths, the Dawn science team has not found evidence that is consistent with ice. The spots’ albedo—a measure of the amount of light reflected—is also lower than predictions for concentrations of ice at the surface.

“The science team is continuing to evaluate the data and discuss theories about these bright spots at Occator,” said Chris Russell, Dawn’s principal investigator at the University of California, Los Angeles. “We are now comparing the spots with the reflective properties of salt, but we are still puzzled by their source. We look forward to new, higher-resolution data from the mission’s next orbital phase.”

Ceres, with a diameter of 584 miles, is the largest object in the main asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter.

At its current orbital altitude of 915 miles, Dawn takes 11 days to capture and return images of Ceres’ whole surface. Each 11-day cycle consists of 14 orbits. Over the next two months, the spacecraft will map the entirety of Ceres six times.

The spacecraft is using its framing camera to extensively map the surface, enabling 3-D modeling. Every image from this orbit has a resolution of 450 feet per pixel, and covers less than 1 percent of the surface of Ceres.

At the same time, Dawn’s visible and infrared mapping spectrometer is collecting data that will give scientists a better understanding of the minerals found on Ceres’ surface.

Engineers and scientists will also refine their measurements of Ceres’ gravity field, which will help mission planners in designing Dawn’s next orbit as well as the journey to get there. In late October, Dawn will begin spiraling toward this final orbit, which will be at an altitude of 230 miles.

Dawn is the first mission to visit a dwarf planet, and the first to orbit two distinct solar system targets. It orbited protoplanet Vesta for 14 months in 2011 and 2012, and arrived at Ceres on March 6, 2015.

New Instrument Images a Young Cousin of Jupiter

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An artistic conception of the Jupiter-like exoplanet, 51 Eri b by Danielle Futselaar and Franck Marchis, SETI Institute. Exoplantt is seen in the near-infrared light that shows the hot layers deep in its atmosphere glowing through clouds. Because of its young age, this young cousin of our own Jupiter is still hot and carries information on the way it was formed 20 million years ago.

Note: This is a press release from SETI Institute.

Using a powerful new imaging device, astronomers have espied a Jupiter-like exoplanet 100 light-years distant in the constellation of Eridanus. Unlike most planets found around other stars, 51 Eri b has been seen directly. The instrument employed to make the discovery has also made a spectroscopic analysis of the light reflected from the planet, and has detected gases similar to those in Jupiter’s atmosphere.

“This is the first exoplanet discovered with the Gemini Planet Imager (GPI), one of the new generation instruments designed specifically for discovering and analyzing faint, young planets orbiting bright stars,” says Franck Marchis, Senior Planetary Astronomer at the SETI Institute and member of the team that built the instrument and now conducts the survey. “GPI is far more sensitive than its predecessors. In fact, the 51 Eri system had been observed by four previous-generation instruments that all missed the planet completely.”

The host star, 51 Eri, is very young, a mere 20 million years old, and is slightly hotter than the Sun. The exoplanet 51 Eri b, whose mass is estimated to be roughly twice that of Jupiter, appears to orbit its host star at a distance 13 times greater than the Earth-Sun distance. If placed in our own solar system, 51 Eri b’s orbit would lie between those of Saturn and Neptune.

“51 Eri has everything we’re looking for in a target star,” notes Eric Nielsen, a postdoctoral fellow at the SETI Institute. “It’s relatively close and young. Indeed, the last dinosaur died 40 million years before this star was even born.”

Because GPI not only images exoplanets but also spreads their light for chemical analysis, astronomers can search for such common gases as water and methane in their atmospheres. Researchers had expected to see methane in directly-imaged exoplanets based on the temperature and chemistry of these worlds, but had failed to detect these molecules in large quantities using earlier instruments. However, the observations of 51 Eri b made with GPI have clearly revealed a methane-dominated atmosphere similar to that of Jupiter.

An extraordinarily complex instrument the size of a small car, GPI is attached to one of the world’s biggest telescopes—the 8-meter Gemini South instrument in Chile. It began its survey of stars last year.

“This is exactly the kind of planet we envisioned discovering when we designed GPI,” says James Graham, a professor at the University of California, Berkeley and Project Scientist for GPI.

Astronomers anticipate that 51 Eri b will be a benchmark for future atmospheric studies that seek to understand how planet formation in these extrasolar systems might be similar to the birth of the gas giants in our own system.

“Any planetary astronomer that inspects our data will conclude without the need of complex computer modeling that this is indeed a planet like our own Jupiter. We have found its first distant and younger cousin,” said Marchis.

“51 Eri b is the first one that’s cold enough and close enough to the star that it could have indeed formed the same way Jupiter did,” adds Bruce Macintosh, who spearheaded the construction of GPI and now heads up the survey. “This whole planetary system could be a lot like ours.”

Is There Life in the Alpha Centauri System?

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    Note: This column is based on press releases from The University of Hawaii and Texas State University.

A team led by scientists from the University of Hawaii has developed a new approach to searching for life on other planets.

The team has measured various biological photosynthetic pigments in the laboratory. They absorb almost all solar light of specific colors in the visible and convert it into chemical bonds to store energy. For example, chlorophyll pigments absorb blue to red light and reflect a small part of green in the visible, as seen in green plants.

All infrared light is reflected, and this is employed in agriculture to monitor water content in crops. Such biopigments are contained in plants, algae, bacteria, and even in human skin (carotenoids) and eyes (rhodopsin), creating the colored beauty of our world. They can also help find life on the surfaces of other planets.

The scientists have found that the part of visible light reflected by various plants with vibrant colors oscillates in certain directions, while incident light oscillates in all directions. Thanks to this peculiarity, this reflected light can be detected remotely by using polarizing filters (similar to Polaroid sunglasses or 3D movie goggles) when viewed at specific angles, even if the star is millions of times brighter than the planet. The team found that each biopigment has its own colored footprint in such polarized light.

This technique could be instrumental in searching for life in the planetary system nearest to the Sun, Alpha Centauri, with existing telescopes. There are three stars in this system. While scientists are interested in finding life around all these stars, Alpha Centauri B, only 4.37 light-years from Earth, seems optimal for life searches with current telescopes.

In 2014, a small planet was discovered around Alpha Centauri B. Unfortunately, this exoplanet is ten times closer to the star than Mercury is to the Sun, so its surface is melting under the stellar heat, and it probably has no atmosphere. At a distance where planets like Earth with liquid water on their surface could exist (the “habitable zone”), no planets have been found as yet, but scientists are continuing to search for one. If such a planet is found, or even before that, it is possible to search for photosynthetic biosignatures in the Alpha Centauri B spectrum. Using the proposed polarization technique, this task becomes even more feasible.

Astronomers Solve VJ Day Picture Mystery
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Jonas Never’s mural of “The Kiss” on the Whaler Restaurant at Speedway and Washington.

    Note: They should have asked Edith Shain, long time Westside resident, what time it was. She was the nurse in the picture. See story in Venice Update.

Friday, August 14th, is the 70th anniversary of VJ Day, which marked the end of World War II. That afternoon, as news spread and crowds filled the streets, LIFE magazine photographer Alfred Eisenstaedt snapped one of the iconic photographs of the 20th century: The Kiss, an image of a sailor in New York’s Times Square grabbing and kissing a woman in white.

In the August issue of Sky & Telescope magazine, astronomy-history sleuth Don Olson of Texas State University and colleagues have definitively solved a key mystery surrounding the photo: when was it taken? Their astronomical analysis of a shadow cast by the Sun settles it: the time was 5:51 p.m.

New Names and Insights at Dwarf Planet Ceres

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Eklund scours the astronomy press releases and chooses the one or ones most interesting for his readers. This is a press release from Jet Propulsion Laboratory

Colorful new maps of Ceres, based on data from NASA’s Dawn spacecraft, showcase a diverse topography, with height differences between crater bottoms and mountain peaks as great as 9 miles.

Scientists continue to analyze the latest data from Dawn as the spacecraft makes its way to its third mapping orbit.

“The craters we find on Ceres, in terms of their depth and diameter, are very similar to what we see on Dione and Tethys, two icy satellites of Saturn that are about the same size and density as Ceres. The features are pretty consistent with an ice-rich crust,” said Dawn science team member Paul Schenk, a geologist at the Lunar and Planetary Institute, Houston.

Some of these craters and other features now have official names, inspired by spirits and deities relating to agriculture from a variety of cultures (since Ceres takes its name from the Roman goddess of agriculture). The International Astronomical Union recently approved a batch of names for features on Ceres.

The newly labeled features include Occator, the mysterious crater containing Ceres’ brightest spots, which has a diameter of about 60 miles and a depth of about 2 miles. Occator is the name of the Roman agriculture deity of harrowing, a method of leveling soil.

A smaller crater with bright material, previously labeled “Spot 1,” is now identified as Haulani, after the Hawaiian plant goddess. Haulani has a diameter of about 20 miles. Temperature data from Dawn’s visible and infrared mapping spectrometer show that this crater seems to be colder than most of the territory around it.

Dantu crater, named after the Ghanaian god associated with the planting of corn, is about 75 miles across and 3 miles deep. A crater called Ezinu, after the Sumerian goddess of grain, is about the same size. Both are less than half the size of Kerwan, named after the Hopi spirit of sprouting maize, and Yalode, a crater named after the African Dahomey goddess worshipped by women at harvest rites.

“The impact craters Dantu and Ezinu are extremely deep, while the much larger impact basins Kerwan and Yalode exhibit much shallower depth, indicating increasing ice mobility with crater size and age,” said Ralf Jaumann, a Dawn science team member at the German Aerospace Center (DLR) in Berlin.

Almost directly south of Occator is Urvara, a crater named for the Indian and Iranian deity of plants and fields. Urvara, about 100 miles wide and 3 miles deep, has a prominent central pointy peak that is 2 miles high.

Dawn is currently spiraling toward its third science orbit, 900 miles above the surface, or three times closer to Ceres than its previous orbit. The spacecraft will reach this orbit in mid-August and begin taking images and other data again.

Ceres, with a diameter of 584 miles, is the largest object in the main asteroid belt, located between Mars and Jupiter. This makes Ceres about 40 percent the size of Pluto, another dwarf planet, which NASA’s New Horizons mission flew by earlier this month.

On March 6, 2015, Dawn made history as the first mission to reach a dwarf planet, and the first to orbit two distinct extraterrestrial targets. It conducted extensive observations of asteroid Vesta in 2011-2012.

Kepler Space Telescope Finds Earth-Sized World

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    Eklund scours the astronomy press releases and chooses the one or ones most interesting for his readers. This is a press release from (Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence) SETI Institute.

New World

Scientists analyzing four years of data from NASA’s Kepler mission have released a new catalog of exoplanet candidates. The catalog adds more than 500 new possible planets to the 4,175 already found by the famed space-based telescope.

“This catalog contains our first analysis of all Kepler data, as well as an automated assessment of these results,” says SETI Institute scientist Jeffrey Coughlin who led the catalog effort. “Improved analysis will allow astronomers to better determine the number of small, cool planets that are the best candidates for hosting life.”

The Kepler space telescope identifies possible planets by observing periodic dips in the brightness of stars. However, confirmation of their true planetary status requires observations by other instruments, typically looking for slight shifts in the motion of the host suns. Historically, the overwhelming majority of Kepler’s discoveries have turned out to be actual planets.

The new catalog includes 12 candidates that are less than twice Earth’s diameter, orbiting in the so-called habitable zone of their star. This zone is the range of distances at which the energy flux from the star would permit liquid water to exist on the planet’s surface. Of these candidates, Kepler 452b is the first to be confirmed as a planet. At a distance of 1,400 light-years, Kepler 452b accompanies a star whose characteristics are very similar to the Sun: it is 4 percent more massive and 10 percent brighter. Kepler 452b orbits its star at the same distance as Earth orbits the Sun.

“Kepler 452b takes us one step closer to understanding how many habitable planets are out there,” notes Joseph Twicken, also of the SETI Institute and the lead scientific programmer for the Kepler mission. “Continued investigation of the other candidates in this catalog and one final run of the Kepler science pipeline will help us find the smallest and coolest planets. Doing so will allow us to better gauge the prevalence of habitable worlds.”

Kepler 452b has a better than even chance of being a rocky world on the basis of its size and the type of star that it orbits. It falls into a class of planets that are between the size of Earth and Neptune. While these are the most abundant type of world found by Kepler, our own solar system does not boast such a planet.

Intriguingly, while similar in size and brightness to the Sun, Kepler 452b’s host star is 1.5 billion years older. It therefore can give us a peek into a crystal ball showing a possible future for Earth.

“If Kepler 452b is indeed a rocky planet, its location vis-a-vis its star could mean that it is just entering a runaway greenhouse phase of its climate history,” says Doug Caldwell, a SETI Institute scientist working on the Kepler mission. “The increasing energy from its aging sun might be heating the surface and evaporating any oceans. The water vapor would be lost from the planet forever.”

“Kepler 452b could be experiencing now what the Earth will undergo more than a billion years from now, as the Sun ages and grows brighter,” Caldwell adds.